7 Oct · 14:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1711
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1771
FormLLWLW
45%
55%
🌟Bochnak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (116)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H67-64
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (67-64)