7 Oct · 16:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LV
🇨🇿Lubomir Vana
ELO 1457
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vana
SM
🇨🇿Simon Mezlik
ELO 1443
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Vana
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.