7 Oct · 16:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1507
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skulina
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1597
FormLLLWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Skulina
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)