Mateusz Burkacki vs Michal Lysakowski

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07 Oct · 11:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki

ELO 1488

3-1Final setsBurkacki won

🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski

ELO 1590

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lysakowski at 60%. The actual result was Mateusz Burkacki 3-1 — the underdog won.

Mateusz Burkacki — profile →Michal Lysakowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Lysakowski favoured — closing 1.37

Upset

Total 77.5

73 points played

Under

Set handicap

Lysakowski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Lysakowski −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

7.25

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Burkacki is favoured to win, below means Michal Lysakowski.

▲ Mateusz Burkackipre 43% → final 100%

Michal Lysakowski ▼

Biggest swing 65 ptsBurkacki recovered from 35%72 points · 4 games