7 Oct · 21:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1629
FormLWWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Zlamal
JZ
🇨🇿Jaromir Zlamal
ELO 1814
FormLWWWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Zlamal
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~73 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+185
H2H104-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+185)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (104-50)