7 Oct · 16:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Flicek
ELO 1552
FormWLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vesecky
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1622
FormLWWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)