7 Oct · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Flicek
ELO 1552
FormWLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Stusek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1629
FormLWWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Stusek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H10-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)