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07 Oct · 13:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JSJaroslav Sindler
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1478
3-2Final setsSindler won
ADAles Drozd
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1491
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Drozd at 52%. The actual result was Jaroslav Sindler 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Drozd favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 74.5
105 points played
Over
Set handicap
Drozd −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Drozd −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.35
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslav Sindler is favoured to win, below means Ales Drozd.

▲ Jaroslav Sindlerpre 44% → final 100%
Ales Drozd ▼
Biggest swing 84 ptsSindler recovered from 16%72 points · 5 games