7 Oct · 19:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1561
FormLWWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Patryk
PK
🇨🇿Piotr Kedzierski
ELO 1375
FormWLLWL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+186
H2H14-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+186)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-6)