8 Oct · 12:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1593
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Cerny
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1716
FormWWLLW
40%
60%
🌟Vesecky covers set handicap as underdog 63% (124)
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+123
H2H86-73
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (86-73)