8 Oct · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1493
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Matus
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1554
FormWWWLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Skvor🌟Skvor covers set handicap as underdog 66% (58)
Fair odds · Matus
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)