8 Oct · 08:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1554
FormWWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Matus
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1444
FormWLWWL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel🌟Matus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (93)
Fair odds · Matus
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)