8 Oct · 09:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1445
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Vonasek
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1628
FormWWWWW
35%
65%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer
Fair odds · Vonasek
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+183
H2H47-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+183)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-24)