8 Oct · 14:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LM
🇨🇿Ladislav Moravec
ELO 1433
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Moravec
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1412
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
🌟Moravec stays under total as favourite 64% (55)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H24-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.