8 Oct · 13:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1622
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krenek
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1540
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krupnik🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (130)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H45-43
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-43)