8 Oct · 15:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1656
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sikora
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1627
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.