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08 Oct · 09:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JGJan Gembala
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1605
2-3Final setsBenes won
RBRadek Benes
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1602
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gembala at 51%. The actual result was Radek Benes 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jan Gembala favoured — closing 1.68
Upset
Total 77.5
98 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jan Gembala −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jan Gembala −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Gembala is favoured to win, below means Radek Benes.

▲ Jan Gembalapre 55% → final 0%
Radek Benes ▼
Biggest swing 78 ptsBenes recovered from 22%72 points · 5 games