8 Oct · 15:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1523
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kanak
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1484
FormLLWLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Konvicka🌟Kanak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (90)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.