8 Oct · 16:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1629
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krenek
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1538
FormLWWWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 70% (57)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H15-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)