8 Oct · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1685
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Benak
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1611
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Brozek🌟Benak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (49)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)