8 Oct · 19:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1653
FormLWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Duch
BG
🇨🇿Blazej Gola
ELO 1439
FormWLLLW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Duch
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+214
H2H56-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+214)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-34)