8 Oct · 22:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1550
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cibik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1563
FormLLWWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vich🌟Vich covers set handicap as underdog 66% (104)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H44-47
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.