8 Oct · 21:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1550
FormWWWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Vich
SM
🇨🇿Simon Matousch
ELO 1391
FormLWLLW
63%
37%
🔥 Underdog lean · Matousch🌟Vich rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (88)
Fair odds · Vich
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+159
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+159)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)