9 Oct · 08:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TT
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1582
FormWWLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Trnka
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1399
FormWLLWL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Trnka
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+183
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+183)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)