9 Oct · 08:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1491
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vaclahovsky
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1422
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel🌟Vaclahovsky rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (41)
Fair odds · Vaclahovsky
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H11-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)