9 Oct · 09:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zajac
ELO 1444
FormWWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sturma
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1447
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Sturma rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (101)
Fair odds · Sturma
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.