9 Oct · 10:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1667
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Benak
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kosacky
ELO 1666
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
🌟Benak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (49)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H9-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.