9 Oct · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1467
FormLWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stefek
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1401
FormWWLLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Snr🌟Stefek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (54)
Fair odds · Stefek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)