9 Oct · 10:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1401
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zajac
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zajac
ELO 1444
FormWWLLL
46%
54%
🌟Snr covers set handicap as underdog 62% (61)
Fair odds · Zajac
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.