9 Oct · 09:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1500
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sindler
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1491
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vaclahovsky🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (148)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H5-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.