9 Oct · 08:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1547
FormWLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Matus
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1422
FormLLLLW
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel🌟Matus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (96)
Fair odds · Matus
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+125
H2H4-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)