9 Oct · 10:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1422
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1500
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (148)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H6-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)