9 Oct · 09:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1399
FormWLLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Holub
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1536
FormWLLLL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Holub
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+137
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)