9 Oct · 10:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1554
FormLLWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Neterda
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1399
FormWLLWL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+155
H2H11-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+155)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-8)