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09 Oct · 07:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartlomiej Molka
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1554
3-1Final setsMolka won
JMJan Masternak
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1471
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Molka at 55%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Molka 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Molka favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 80.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Molka −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Molka −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Molka is favoured to win, below means Jan Masternak.

▲ Bartlomiej Molkapre 59% → final 91%
Jan Masternak ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsMolka recovered from 26%72 points · 4 games