09 Oct · 14:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1618
2-3Final setsHons won
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1477
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Lovl at 62%. The actual result was David Hons 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jan Lovl favoured — closing 1.58
Total 75.5
85 points played
Set handicap
Jan Lovl −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jan Lovl −3.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Lovl is favoured to win, below means David Hons.
▲ Jan Lovlpre 66% → final 6%
David Hons ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsHons recovered from 34%72 points · 5 games