9 Oct · 17:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SM
🇨🇿Simon Matousch
ELO 1418
FormWWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Cesak
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cesak
ELO 1544
FormWLLLW
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Matousch🌟Cesak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (71)
Fair odds · Cesak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+126
H2H15-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-4)