9 Oct · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇨🇿Stanislav Kafka
ELO 1563
FormLWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kafka
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1477
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kafka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H7-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)