9 Oct · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1704
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kadavy
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1638
FormLWWWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H13-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)