9 Oct · 18:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1537
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cesak
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cesak
ELO 1544
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
🌟Cesak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (71)
Fair odds · Cesak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H10-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.