9 Oct · 18:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1271
FormLLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Matousch
SM
🇨🇿Simon Matousch
ELO 1418
FormWWLLW
38%
62%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolbusovsky🌟Matousch rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (44)
Fair odds · Matousch
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+147
H2H4-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)