9 Oct · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1618
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lovl
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1541
FormLLWWW
56%
44%
🌟Motacek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (30)
Fair odds · Lovl
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)