9 Oct · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1557
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Macurak
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1627
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
🌟Krupnik covers set handicap as underdog 65% (113)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H24-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-15)