9 Oct · 17:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1477
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Motacek
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1541
FormLLWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Motacek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)