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09 Oct · 10:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Molka
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1554
3-0Final setsMolka won
DSDawid Stapor
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1614
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Stapor at 57%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Molka 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Stapor favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 79.5
59 points played
Under
Set handicap
Stapor −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Stapor −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Molka is favoured to win, below means Dawid Stapor.

▲ Bartlomiej Molkapre 46% → final 94%
Dawid Stapor ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsMolka recovered from 43%57 points · 3 games