09 Oct · 17:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1487
2-3Final setsLovl won
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1627
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Lovl at 61%. The actual result was Jan Lovl 2-3 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Lovl favoured — closing 1.58
Total 74.5
93 points played
Set handicap
Lovl −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Lovl −6.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means David Hons is favoured to win, below means Jan Lovl.
▲ David Honspre 35% → final 0%
Jan Lovl ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsLovl recovered from 25%72 points · 5 games