09 Oct · 19:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1606
3-1Final setsGuzy won
LB
🇨🇿Lukasz Buklat
ELO 1614
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Buklat at 52%. The actual result was Karol Guzy 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Karol Guzy favoured — closing 1.57
Set handicap
Karol Guzy −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Karol Guzy −3.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Guzy is favoured to win, below means Lukasz Buklat.
▲ Karol Guzypre 51% → final 95%
Lukasz Buklat ▼
Biggest swing 48 pts69 points · 4 games