09 Oct · 20:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1678
3-0Final setsDuch won
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1598
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Duch at 55%. The actual result was Adam Duch 3-0 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Adam Duch favoured — closing 1.65
Total 78.5
53 points played
Set handicap
Adam Duch −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Adam Duch −2.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Duch is favoured to win, below means Karol Guzy.
▲ Adam Duchpre 59% → final 96%
Karol Guzy ▼
Biggest swing 40 pts52 points · 3 games