10 Oct · 09:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1562
FormLWLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Jicha
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1755
FormWLLWW
35%
65%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strejc
Fair odds · Jicha
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+193
H2H96-71
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+193)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (96-71)