10 Oct · 08:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VB
🇨🇿Vit Benak
ELO 1665
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vorisek
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1679
FormWLWLW
49%
51%
🌟Benak covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H29-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.